cobran20

Martin Armstrong's Economic Writings

4051 posts in this topic

On 1.9.2018 at 1:25 PM, Swaize said:

Socrates had a BIG turnpoint in 20.August and the next is November/December, so we can expect a move into November/December now in the USA Stock market!

And December was the low :)

hows it going guys?

The REAL socrates is now secretly online, i couldnt try yet cause my credit card gets declined for some reason, but friends tried.

Edited by Swaize

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4 hours ago, Swaize said:

And December was the low :)

hows it going guys?

The REAL socrates is now secretly online, i couldnt try yet cause my credit card gets declined for some reason, but friends tried.

Welcome back. What's the feedback from your friends?

Edited by cobran20

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actually not much feedback, im a bit disconnected to the guys as we been waiting for this since 2015 haha thats 4 years now!

 

hey australia has panic cycle this year, should get some action

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7 hours ago, Swaize said:

actually not much feedback, im a bit disconnected to the guys as we been waiting for this since 2015 haha thats 4 years now!

 

hey australia has panic cycle this year, should get some action

There is a federal election in May and the Labor/socialist party is likely to win. That will guarantee a panic! :)

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Hey Swaize have you shacked up with a Polish princess yet? ;)

I'll be in Eastern Europe next month (pending visa approval).

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27 minutes ago, Mr Medved said:

Hey Swaize have you shacked up with a Polish princess yet? ;)

I'll be in Eastern Europe next month (pending visa approval).

That's not the same Polish princess as Tor's Polish princess? :blink:

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1 hour ago, cobran20 said:

That's not the same Polish princess as Tor's Polish princess? :blink:

Nah he was dating a different one. Apparently the country is full of princesses, never been there myself to validate.

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On 8/23/2018 at 4:20 PM, AndersB said:

Aaand it's gone! The monthly waterfall event prediction, that is.

This is weird. The two Socrates images both show 8/22/2017 (22 August 2017) in the top right corner:

GMW-Real-Estate.jpg

Socrates-Real-Estate.jpg

That monthly trend forecast in Australian Real estate of 'Preparing for a waterfall to downside' is proving to be on the money. We're now in double digit falls from the top, for the two capital cities.

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There are 100.000 students in my city and the city center is about 1500meters.....and i live in the middle ;)

For the russian interested, the ruble has a quarterly turnpoint 1.st quarter 2020 and the yearly bullish for the ruble is 7992 against the dollar

Every year marty gets more bullish commodities, first it was "prepare for the breakdown"   then it was  "ah nothing before 2018"  now its "2019 and onward"  and soon is 2020 so marty will start to shift towards commodities and said canada australia russia and latin america should "turn up again"

So guys, start making lists of nice companies and prepare to be buying the dips!  I just recently sold all my silver/gold exposure and bought platinum but will buy again gold silver sugar wheat and so on on each dip into 2022

Socrates is online but a bit expensive especially if you wanna dabble in many markets!  I was lucky to have had the crazy access back in 2016 on the whole world.

Edited by Swaize

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I have been noticing that the RUB has been increasing lately. I don't think it is commodity-related (yet) though.

Is there a differentiation between hard and soft commodities?

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marty said grains will lead the cycle. so im betting on wheat and gold.

oil is strong so that can be why the ruble is up.

Many say, investint and doing business in Russia is a NIGHTMARE and you can loose it all. But australia and canada are also resource countries and internationally quite cheap in dollar terms. The biggest rise was in the nasdaq globally. FANG will eventually become an epic bubble haha :)

Socrates is really up, bit expensive, and you can subscribe to ONE instrument. So you wont get arrays on many things but you can buy snapshot acces to things that interest you (not cheap)  i find it now yet clear enough to get actual cold hard buy signals for various strategies and horizons yet...like, buy now!!! or sell 50% now!!! its more like....huge amounts of numbers and lines, not made for IQ80 politicians or newbies....

Edited by Swaize

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Doing business in Russia requires a local partner and legal advice. If it is a large company you also need a krisha. Not sure about investing though.

I'm actually more interested in what Martin would say about the political situation in Russia. Nazarbayev resigning in Kazakhstan was a surprise and from what I understand many Russians are more openly unhappy about the government and also the president (Putin).

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On 9/22/2016 at 10:14 PM, Swaize said:

...

All Ordinairies has a turnpoint in 2019

 

Swaize,

Worth watching if it fails to break to new highs now.

1.JPG

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On 5/14/2019 at 7:37 PM, Mr Medved said:

Did you notice this minor story published this week:

Drought forces Australia to import wheat for first time in a decade

You would think that all the evaporation and subsequent condensation from those warming oceans would provide ample rain. Instead we're getting what the dissidents have been forecasting.

It's a real b!tch when the facts get in the way of a good story.:)

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Corn had a rallye into this week but is turning down. I guess the f*cking chinese pigs dying (sounds so funny) is bearish on pig-food like soy, corn.

In AUD or CAD or RUB terms, commdoties will rallye soon and into 2023 or 2024  , its time to look for companies.

Marty is making us ready for the commodity bullmarket, but the dollar rallye into 2021 might first rain on the parade. If we see a dollar rallye then right at the peak is the perfect time to shift out of USA and into Australia (maby brazil, peru  too?)  and go long wheat and gold

Socrates is up, i think i cant publish tooo many arrays or anything here, but... Let me just say that many many markets, dow gold usw have a turnpoint in june and specifically in june 10-17       so watch what happens on that date and if a new trend develops from there. 

For example djia dow: 25207 weekly close below signals decline into june

The next timing target in many many markets is around september2019 watch that(even bitcoin has september as turnpoint on the array).   And then of course january2020 the ECM date is just about on every market.

Hope that provides some value to you :)

Edited by Swaize

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On 17.5.2019 at 0:38 AM, cobran20 said:

You would think that all the evaporation and subsequent condensation from those warming oceans would provide ample rain. Instead we're getting what the dissidents have been forecasting.

More serious and just in general, i researched the data on the past of the climate in yearly, instead of smoothed averages and found that even during the coldest time in the little ice age, there were some summers just as warm as today. What im saying is, if its cold then every 5th summer can still be really hot!  And even in our global warming there can be a cold winter here and there, thats normal.  But when the average gets pulled down or we break cold records then you know the trend is turning down. Also i found that while  in 1700s northern germany had colder summers but hungary did not! Hungary had cold springs but still had warm summers. So climate turning colder can be different in different places and in different years, like last year that was one of the warmest sunniest in europe ever but in the usa it was cold. And this winter was warm here, no frost, finally i got apricots on my trees, while in the usa it was reeeeeally snowy and frost really late.

One year a trend does not make ;)

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AllOrdinairies  Socrates buy Signal, buy a monthly close above 6,873.20

Big turnpoints September2019

Biggest weekly turnpoint week of 24.june

Basically, you buy once the first monthly bullish gets elected and sell when the first monthly bearish gets elected. Simple trendfollowing system. Using this, you would have sold during the 2015 dow crash and during the 2018 dow crash so the system gets you out before any 2008-style event. So you can buy and hold safely, just check end of every month if any monthly bearish reversals got elected. Ewen the basic

For trading you can use the Array and look for turnpoints and then after a turnpoint buy when the first weekly bullish gets elected and sell either on the next important turnpoint or on the next weekly bearish or when the market encounter a cluster of weekly bullish.

Even the most basic, quite cheap subscription level gives you the basic monthly buy/sell signal. For example for the all ordinaries:

"Sell your position: Long-Term critical support still underlies this market at 5294099 and only a break of that level on a monthly closing basis would warn of a break of the current uptrend.  

Buy a position: Critical resistance now stands on a monthly closing basis at 6481301 and a break above that level on a monthly closing basis would warn of a continued advance ahead becomes possible." 

Every person who has stocks or other investments, should consider at least the cheapest subscription for these buy/sell signals.

Friends of mine, professional traders, have 75% successful trades with Socrates, instead of 65% so more than they had before. Erwin also showed his 15 winning trades and 5 loosing trades with the system and average 3:1 risk return. 

Edited by Swaize

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16 hours ago, Swaize said:

AllOrdinairies  Socrates buy Signal, buy a monthly close above 6,873.20

Big turnpoints September2019

Biggest weekly turnpoint week of 24.june

Basically, you buy once the first monthly bullish gets elected and sell when the first monthly bearish gets elected. Simple trendfollowing system. Using this, you would have sold during the 2015 dow crash and during the 2018 dow crash so the system gets you out before any 2008-style event. So you can buy and hold safely, just check end of every month if any monthly bearish reversals got elected. Ewen the basic

For trading you can use the Array and look for turnpoints and then after a turnpoint buy when the first weekly bullish gets elected and sell either on the next important turnpoint or on the next weekly bearish or when the market encounter a cluster of weekly bullish.

Even the most basic, quite cheap subscription level gives you the basic monthly buy/sell signal. For example for the all ordinaries:

"Sell your position: Long-Term critical support still underlies this market at 5294099 and only a break of that level on a monthly closing basis would warn of a break of the current uptrend.  

Buy a position: Critical resistance now stands on a monthly closing basis at 6481301 and a break above that level on a monthly closing basis would warn of a continued advance ahead becomes possible." 

Every person who has stocks or other investments, should consider at least the cheapest subscription for these buy/sell signals.

Friends of mine, professional traders, have 75% successful trades with Socrates, instead of 65% so more than they had before. Erwin also showed his 15 winning trades and 5 loosing trades with the system and average 3:1 risk return. 

Thanks. The All Ords closed 6489 today. So that is another rise of 400 points (6%) before you buy the All Ords. I guess that is the downside of monthly trades. Still, a 75% strike rate is good.

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