cobran20

Martin Armstrong's Economic Writings

3718 posts in this topic

 

8 hours ago, tor said:

Impeachment and thrown out of office seems exceedingly unlikely. I don't think it has ever happened even with opposition in control of the senate and the house. Trump has both of them, to be impeached would take proof on a level which convinced everyone. Given the publics treatment of facts currently I don't think that level of proof is attainable short of Putin physically handing trump money :)

There is a load of frothing at the mouth from the left wing commentariat about impeachment. It ain't gonna happen on what has been shown so far (as much as I'd want it to). The man child is safe for now. Watch his RP compadres for any change in status.

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Hey guys :)

Heard from friends the 2016WEC was a dud, glad i didnt go, but i decided to give it another try this year :)

The predictions of the last two are basically:

Buy the dow until 2018 or 2023 

Stay away from bonds

Gold in USD still hasnt bottomed but 2017 should be lowest yearly close

Real Estate has peaked and will only be a good buy in 15 years mainly because of taxation

The dollar will rise to 1985 high (euro 0.82  pound to par) by 2018 or the latest by 2021

 

Someone wrote socrates cant be measured. It can. Just buy the first weekly bullish and sell only once you get a weekly bearish. Or get into a market buying when it generates a monthly bullish after a correction and sell when it generates the first monthly bearish. Its a trend following system so test it on charts that have some kind of trend and not sideways or erratic markets.

If you got Arrays find a nice quarterly turnpoint, zoomin to monthly and if it also shows a clear turnpoint then start your test right after that turnpoint is past and the trend changes.

From my experience socrates works. Especially for longterm investors (couple of months-years) and especially in markets that have a trend, meaning that really move. 

Theres a third thing to do, to make it shine! Only trade markets with a gap between reversals on the monthly and quarterly level! 

But psst dont tell everyone, i think not many understand those 3 steps yet. I call it filtering and learned it from a guy who attends martys conferences since 1985!

Buffet is also great and i think you can use Socrates as an entry/exit strategy on Stocks Buffet picks. Id use the monthly reversals for that then youd have to check your investment only 12 times per year (after every monthly closing) and not even pick stocks yourself ;)

Edited by Swaize

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1 hour ago, Swaize said:

Hey guys :)

Heard from friends the 2016WEC was a dud, glad i didnt go, but i decided to give it another try this year :)

The predictions of the last two are basically:

Buy the dow until 2018 or 2023 

Stay away from bonds

Gold in USD still hasnt bottomed but 2017 should be lowest yearly close

Real Estate has peaked and will only be a good buy in 15 years mainly because of taxation

The dollar will rise to 1985 high (euro 0.82  pound to par) by 2018 or the latest by 2021

 

Someone wrote socrates cant be measured. It can. Just buy the first weekly bullish and sell only once you get a weekly bearish. Or get into a market buying when it generates a monthly bullish after a correction and sell when it generates the first monthly bearish. Its a trend following system so test it on charts that have some kind of trend and not sideways or erratic markets.

If you got Arrays find a nice quarterly turnpoint, zoomin to monthly and if it also shows a clear turnpoint then start your test right after that turnpoint is past and the trend changes.

From my experience socrates works. Especially for longterm investors (couple of months-years) and especially in markets that have a trend, meaning that really move. 

Theres a third thing to do, to make it shine! Only trade markets with a gap between reversals on the monthly and quarterly level! 

But psst dont tell everyone, i think not many understand those 3 steps yet. I call it filtering and learned it from a guy who attends martys conferences since 1985!

Buffet is also great and i think you can use Socrates as an entry/exit strategy on Stocks Buffet picks. Id use the monthly reversals for that then youd have to check your investment only 12 times per year (after every monthly closing) and not even pick stocks yourself ;)

Looks like you could run an after market service on Socrates, explaining how to use it! :)

Why don't you publish a running portfolio, based on your rules to see how it performs?

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22 hours ago, tor said:

Impeachment and thrown out of office seems exceedingly unlikely. I don't think it has ever happened even with opposition in control of the senate and the house. Trump has both of them, to be impeached would take proof on a level which convinced everyone. Given the publics treatment of facts currently I don't think that level of proof is attainable short of Putin physically handing trump money :)

Looks like the swamp will need to find another smoking gun!

Comey: Higher-ups never asked for halt to FBI investigations

Quote

James Comey, just-fired FBI director, said in a Senate hearing earlier this month that he’s never been asked by higher-ups to back off an investigation for political reasons — and that doing so would’ve been an eyebrow-raising “big deal.”
The Q&A with Democrat Sen. Mazie Hirono didn’t name President Donald Trump’s name. But given the recent Comey memo, in which he asserted Trump tried to stop the FBI investigation of former National Security Adviser Michael Flynn, the under-oath testimony is an interesting consideration...

 

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