Got Bonds

[cobran20 94]

Global Temps Call for 2015 Yield Bottom

[cobran20 94]

Size Matters & Their Estimates are Still Too Damn High

[cobran20 94]

Looks like US short term yields are smelling a rate rise!

[cobran20 94]

Bund Spread Gives Permission for Bear Market

[cobran20 94]

Interest Rates 1150 - 2014 (Historical Charts)

[cobran20 94]

Have our 10 year bond yields bottomed? The daily, weekly & monthly charts all exhibit positive divergence on the MACD  (blue line)

 

The bottom is still holding but not overly confident that a lasting bottom is in place.

[cobran20 94]

Also coming our way down the track....

 

Fed would consider negative rates if economy soured - Yellen

[cobran20 94]

Big spike in US yields. Fed raising rates next month?

[cobran20 94]

This would be consistent with Armstrong's view of more rate rises by the Fed

 

Fed Still Behind The Power Curve

[cobran20 94]

Groundhog Day in T-Bonds

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NIRP Disrupting 60-Year Cycle

[cobran20 94]

Must be getting close to a peak in bonds! Presumably they are concerned about the ability of surrounding countries being able to to repay monies and/or expecting the Euro to disappear and being paid in Deutsche marks rather than liras, francs or similar?

 

Investors Now Pay Germany to Borrow for 10 Years

 

I'd tend to agree with Armstrong that the negative yields are going to drive capital towards the US where you get some (even if miniscule) return.

[cobran20 94]

A Turn in the Tide: The Case for Rising Interest Rates

[cobran20 94]

Bond Market Knows What Fed Should Do

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Lumber’s Message For Interest Rates

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High AMO Says Rates Should Stay Low

[cobran20 94]

On 3/17/2015 at 6:51 PM, cobran20 said:

Have our 10 year bond yields bottomed? The daily, weekly & monthly charts all exhibit positive divergence on the MACD  (blue line)

Sadly no as yields dropped to new lows. The yields need to rise above the May 2015 high to give any confidence.