Mr Medved

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Everything posted by Mr Medved

  1. I honestly pay almost no attention to politics, but don't get the level of hate against Trump. Sure he's dirty, but all the politicians are dirty, so what's the deal?
  2. What I do know is Victoria (and Australia) is screwed right now by shutdowns, and will be screwed into the foreseeable future. Speaking to a mate in Russia it seems pretty much everywhere is screwed right now, just in its own ways. RUB is dropping against AUD and other currencies. I'd buy a cheap place there and bug out except for the fact I've got kids (and can't move with them). I saw Thai protests against the monarchy in the news. Seems like everything is tearing at the seams right now. Not sure where I'll be at in six weeks as my contract is up and no word about extensions.Job market is beyond dead. Cash flow is king right now. Everywhere you look it is a horror story. FFS, even a curfew now, never been done before as far as I understand.The time for a hard lockdown was six months ago, the horse has bolted. The virus is such a minimal concern to me in comparison (and I have elderly family members).
  3. Hey Tor - check this out, you may recognise somebody.
  4. Vitamin D deficiency is a problem but there are many factors. Smokers get hit really hard. Those with diabetes or obesity are also hit harder. I did read stuff about binding to ACE2 receptors impacting Asians more but effed if I know if it was legit or not. The sun is your friend! I take Vitamin D tablets by routine, as well as zinc and other stuff, before any of this broke out. Sleep is also your friend. It's no wonder China was hit hard early (air pollution,high rates of male smokers, multi-generational homes, ageing population), similar demographic issues with northern Italy. New York is on average the oldest city in the USA so was bound to be hit hard, and sending people into nursing homes after being infected, lol yeah good thinking idiots. I trust people at the coal face more than others. HCQ is a known drug, zinc is known, not sure about the other one. Dirt cheap with little risks for most people. If I get a travel exemption I will be hitting up doctors for a prescription as proactive treatment. Apparently it was used in Russia which may explain high case rate but relatively low CFR. I'd be staying away from vaccines! I did read a report that if you took the flu shoot you were worse off when it comes to COVID-19. Whatever this virus is, it is nasty nasty sh*t and I'm 99.9999% convinced it originated in a lab. Possibly a bioweapon but unwilling to stake money on it,but certainly is man-made. Vaccines are not 100% safe or 100% reliable, and can take decades before adverse side effects are discovered.
  5. It seems there are existing an inexpensive measures to manage infections before things get really bad - "Zelenko Protocol" https://drdrew.com/2020/dr-vladimir-zelenko-speaks-openly-on-hydroxychloriquine/ I understand with that doctors are using this approach as a prophylactic to protect themselves, so if true means it is safe and they have concerns. I take zinc routinely but obviously not the other meds. Budesonide https://www.news-medical.net/news/20200707/Asthma-inhalers-being-trialed-for-treatment-of-COVID-19.aspx It seems to have good results for early treatment, again this is cheap and known. I bought a stack of regular asthma puffers earlier in the year as I figured it would be prudent (my son and I are mildly asthmatic). The key seems to be early treatment and management. Things can go pear-shaped even for relatively healthy people if left untreated. I will put my tinfoil hat on, but I think big pharma connections are hushing up these measures to push out vaccines that aren't properly tested or effective.
  6. I think most Americans are pissed off. The election campaign will all be about blaming the other side... which is touched on in this video.
  7. None of the above. Joe Rogan should run as an independent, he'd go close to winning and would be better than either candidate.
  8. I don't follow politics much so will have to trust your judgement. But Biden will simply be propped up as the facade to the military-industry complex doing what they want.
  9. Trump doesn't need a majority to win, just the swing states. I think he can blame a lot of problems based on Democrat-led states. Biden was such a shocking selection, I can understand why because he could be resembling a vegetable in 12 months so will be just a front man as always intended.
  10. Hey Swaize, I seem to recall Marty mentioned gold at 5,000 USD. Do you remember the timing? I know Jim Sinclair made bold predictions based on his "angels" which may be correct turning points but not correct timing.
  11. FWIW I think Trump will win the election, if anything because Biden is senile and I cannot imagine how coherent he will be in 3-4 months. If Biden wins then it's the official start to WW3. There's enough conflict in the world as it is right now and I think the military-industry complex will be ramping up sales.
  12. I think the test of policy is, "where would you prefer to be?" I hope to escape the second half of the year but not banking on it. Kinda hangs on how fast the RF opens its borders... which doesn't seem to be before September. Working from home, I like the no commuting aspect. I walk to school with the kids then start work at 9am. It feels humane, especially for them. Two hours extra a day is a blessing... plus working from home is fine regardless where home is, so if I can take advantage of that I'll be very happy.
  13. Social distancing as practised is no more practical than Dianetics. Would you like an audit? I respect the wishes (fear) of other people but have no personal concerns. I am livid there are no gigs and I can't travel. I will be applying for an exemption but have no idea if it will be granted.
  14. The economy in Australia has been hammered, there's perhaps a lag but it's bad. Construction industry will drop off substantially later in the year. Travel and tourism is dead. If borders don't open the "education sector" will be whacked. Hospitality and entertainment sectors will have venues permanently closed. China may impose more tariffs. Then there's the debt, both public and private. Where's the debt growth coming from to keep the Aussie dream alive? Sentiment is the key, we'll need to pull out the Reject the Recession dancers again. But I don't see companies rushing to hire, and from my experience in the first three months of the year is that opportunities evaporated like mist and may not pop up again. Although I've been hanging out for mega bargains and they haven't come yet. Maybe EOFY will be the time.
  15. I would not want to be in the hospitality industry right now. I went to the CBD on the weekend and it was dead. Not sure how fast things will pick up even if official restrictions are relaxed or lifted.
  16. Thanks for the support, only a six month gig but better than nothing. Working on something on the side but will be a long road before I see (decent) money in it... not sure which is worse to deal with - the corporate world or the music industry.
  17. I am so insulated from really stupid people most of the time, and even more so now, that I sometimes forget how dumb some people can be. And the world is full of them. But arseholes are worse. So hibernating at home most of the time is not so bad. And anyone who disagrees with me is clearly of low IQ.
  18. Any news on the rental markets? I was thinking of negotiating a rental reduction. Seems like quite a few people are on the move in my area and I assume the residential rental market is pretty soft at the minute. I'm on a month-to-month lease so they could turn around and give me a notice to vacate, but I understand evictions are forbidden now by the Federal government? There's a place I was previously interested in renting that's now on the market. Based on oldlistings.com.au it seems like the owner has dropped rents below what was advertised in 2013. I reckon they may even go lower. But it's a pain to move places, especially with kids, so I think I'd prefer a rental reduction. Good news is I started a new job last week. Good to have cash flow after a year of very, very little.
  19. I have the opposite but complimentary theory that hot countries produce hot heads or brain-fried individuals. Think southern USA, Middle East, Afghanistan, much of Africa, etc. I can't remember the source but there was an evolutionary theory that those in cold, dark climates have higher IQ because of the survival aspect during winter. Somewhat plausible given IQ levels in North Asia and Scandinavia, and IIRC Ashkenazi Jews originated from modern-day Ukraine.
  20. https://www.zerohedge.com/health/mrpresident-open-economy-now-martin-armstrong-warns-theres-another-agenda-going
  21. There were some cyclers who were quite testy when I went on a walk with my kids. One said "move over!" (not sure if directed at me), another scolded a guy who stopped with his young daughter, "get off the path!" I was kind of taken aback by their rudeness. Everybody seems panicky as if they think I'm going to rob them at knife point.
  22. Yes - getting money in easy, getting it out is harder. I know someone who pulled money out recently but they were in country. Not sure if it was physical cash or wire transfer. On gold, for me I view it as insurance policy more than an investment portfolio. I was around on the GHPC forum in 2009 like most here, were you on that too?
  23. I think shares will be a good play but not yet. I'd like to see a massive drop first... at least 80% from the peak. Got a feeling Japanese officials were lying about their epidemic stats to get the Olympics up and running, so won't be surprised if things get worse there before they get better. I watch the RUB a little bit. Seems to have held up well until the start of March, then dropped to massive lows against the USD. Not quite all time new lows (80.3336 now, 83.8344 in Jan 2016), I wonder how much traders were sweating if that broke...
  24. Haha... sounds like a mate of mine. In the space of about a month he evacuated several times due to bush fires, dealt with landslides and floods, struck down by an unknown virus pre-Wuhan outbreak, and his wife was bitten by a deadly snake. Now his business has been shut down by the government due to the panic! Probably for six months. Sometimes truth is stranger than fiction. I hope they weren't Bezos-like photo leaks. Have the Canadians freaked out or are they taking it in their stride? Just as a time marker (from the post in October), gold got up to 2700 AUD but has eased a bit. That's almost +500 AUD since October. If it has a similar run as in the GFC it should get close to 3000 AUD. AUD/USD has dropped from around 0.70 to 0.59, so my liquid investments have held up well in the short-term.
  25. Apparently oil is in contango. If only I had a tanker! https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/tanker-tantrum-how-crudes-record-contango-has-created-greatest-trade-decades With many countries banning food exports I expect commodity prices to increase. Long oil and food.