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Everything posted by Swaize

  1. WHAT you can actually walk away from a house by just leaving and the bank has to take it back and you dont owe anything anymore?? even if the house value is lower than what is owed (due to prices that fell)
  2. yeah brazil had bad years cause of low soja price venezuela cause of low oil price now argentina is toasting but the low for that region should be 2018-2021 and it should be bought, as 2024 is a commodity HIGH! and south america has lots of growing potential anyway. As for banks, get usd cash 50$ notes get gold physical get local currency cash Maby some water, some food(dont overdo it and store food you actually eat anyway and keep eating and renewing) IF there is a pandemic in 2019-2020 like marty thinks, stay healthy
  3. how is asia and what places were nice? reccomendations? in south america, many friends liked colombia and costa rica (i have never been) in europe stunning women in oslo, nice party vibe in holland, nice old town vienna(touristic) nice food in france also castles , very cheap places in the balkan-romania area also lots of wilderness (need a car and maby visa) budapest cheap and nice old-f*cked up-charm rustic if you like drinking and pubs, then scotland and ireland
  4. maby theres one local to Perth? according to this: https://reiwa.com.au/the-wa-market/perth-metro/ perth real estate peaked longtime ago and isnt in a bubble therefore the banks should be safe
  5. Yeah thats gone, but there are other gems right now waiting to be travelled in your area of the world, you got all of asia
  6. with the coming banking crysis i expect people around the world going crazy for physical gold coins! imagine the mess, especially in europe when governments go bust AND banks go bust, no one can save no one, so people will go to cash and gold and land and food storage and dollars! you cant imagine HOW bankrubt for example italian banks are! thats double the population of australia trying to get into real assets like gold! this will be historical
  7. gold seems to have bottomed and everyone is now waiting for the breakout. will be interesting how this combines with the dollar rise. silver has a yearly turnpoint in 2018 which could be a low. so by november this year, things will get really interesting!!! personally im long and expect a breakout abovve the sideways range by 2019 and new highs by 2024
  8. marty sees consolidation into june, euro has peaked, dollar might have bottomed and dollar WILL RALLY INTO 2021 this will be historic latin america will totally suffer, imagine the deflation! asias corporations also borrow in dollars a lot, ouch. watch the hongkong peg breaking!
  9. lived in spain for 2 months lately, wow SUCH a dead country, you can just feel it!!! they now close down children playgrounds to convert them to dog playgrounds as there are more dogs than children in the city, no joke! barcelona was ONLY tourists, have never seen something like that. just a terrible country. i loved porto, real chilled, cooler climate than lissabon.
  10. australias banks are fully in real estate you guys should start banking elsewhere, spread your risk!!! look for banks who lend mostly to mining companies in the west, as mining should improve from now on.
  11. Originally marty suggested 2016 should be the peak for highend real estate. Seems he was 1.5years off. Then in september-november 2017 he wrote this is it, highend real estate should be sold immediatly and is crashing. Now after the 1.st quarter 2018 numbers are in, we see the decline and trend change! 8% down in New York The next low should be 2033 so get ready to buy again within our lifetimes cause by then we will need cash to buy, not credit
  12. Now with rising rates, Im asking myself, What to invest in next? money can only go to stocks or commodities or cash. Cash according to martin armstrong will be best in us dollars for the next few years. So stocks and commodities to figure out.
  13. Oh thats a bad situation. So... its really happening right? The bubble that mever popped, has now popped? Auszralian real estate is changing trend after what? 50years?
  14. Cool, so thats the way to go thank you Just saw this article that says newyork high end real estate plunged 8% and sales plunged 25% most in a decade and sales now as low as 2012! https://www.cnbc.com/2018/04/03/new-yorks-luxury-real-estate-market-is-in-correction.html Seems to me its happening, with the rising rates and worsening law situation. Thats a big shift. So momey might flow out of real estate and out of bonds for many years! It can only go to companies or commodities/land or cash
  15. Well marty focuses on europe, which is smart cause there we got data. Its more scientific that way. This winter DEFINITELY got much colder than usual also in the usa. Spring, feb march was also much colder. I think it was Dezember? Or january? that was warm/mild in some european countries. -14C° MAX daytime temp freezes phone holding fingers immediatly, i now know everything below 6C° is only fun with snow sun and good wool clothing. I might return to my routine of spending winters elsewhere. I want to thank you guys for tips, i started doing some sport and feel better
  16. Silver "The important number on the upside is $18.90. A monthly and quarterly closing above this number will signal that we are start to move to the upside to test the major numbers at $21.63 and $23.10. The equivalent to the breakout number of significant is $21.63." so here marty is looking at defining what the signal is for the next silver bullmarket! Dow Jones "We did not elect the key Weekly Bearish Reversal which remains at 23250. Had we elected that one, then we should expect immediate follow-through. We can bounce into tomorrow and then turn down into next week. Creating a low the week of 04/02 would ideally bounce thereafter. It does appear that we should test the monthly support level 22415. The question becomes when, the week of 04/02 or at the end of the month. A rally into next week would then imply a declining trend into the end of the month and that could spill-over into May intraday but then rally leaving April as the lowest close." I want to state two things here: The quarterly silver reversals i just gave you all, are basically marty saying, when silver closes a quarter above 18.90$ the bullmarket starts! Its like a prediction. 21.63$ quarterly close is the second buy signal, saying, DUDE silver is going up now over the next years! So this is Marty predicting the next bullmarket and also giving 2 buy signals to get in!!! In 2024 we can review this and go:" thank god i sold real estate bavk then and bought silver! And the second thing i wanna say is, Marty expects a Dollar high around 2021 so if we get the silver buy signal 2018,2019 then look out for the dollar rallye and brace, or if we get the signal AFTER the dollar rallye then buy silver with both hands
  17. Ah so i could get a visa, rent an appartment, get an electricity bill, go to the bank and pretend to be resident and get a bank account like a local? Basically with a local adress things get easyer?
  18. How do you guys open bank accounts in japan or russia or other places? I failed in usa singapore hongkong
  19. Quarterly turnpoint coming up and usd is low So a good time to get usd it seems to me. Marty is bullish on the dollar, talked about higher dollar since 2014? 2021 is his dollar target for a high. He says higher dollar will initially hurt gold and commodities but in other currencies gold may rise. In dollars not quite there yet. Sounds the least bearish since many years. His soon to come gold report is not focussed anymore on the low but on the breakout in the future 2024 should be commodity peak, he said that many times now. Last was 2007 and 2011 both were gold highs so 6 years if you want to buy and hold. Then another 6years to when he expects tangible assets to rise and peak somewhere in 2030-35 so buy low guys Silver is 300% til the alltimehigh which probably gets exceeded by the 2030s Marty looking to buy the dow again, still bullish.
  20. in switzerland cpi is negative so need harsher measures so i make my own inflation counter! Marty now wrote by 2020 or 2023 unimaginable high interest rates are gonna come to europe! Marty wrote the next financial crysis has started and in 2019 will be visible It seems i will get real, really fast now! Ruuun! Haha no but really, it seems i have to prepare with more earnest and more USD-Cash notes under the pillow! cash is king! And some gold. One year til the next crysis, tick tak
  21. We know rates will rise eventually. And your chart shows NOW might be the start of this whole new trend that we havent seen since 1970s Exciting times! Lessons from the 70s: wages didnt keep up with inflation as well but commodities did. House prices came down in switzerland (in real terms) as rates rose.
  22. 90day australian bond is at 98$ according to socrates. Coming closer to the 97 level. Marty recently warned about interbank lending rate rising and the crysis has started! When bond rates rise, value of pension fund owned bonds decline. This makes the pension crysis worse and fast.
  23. Just tried yesterday to my girlfriend. I got a sad face from her Yeah THAT will be interesting. I imagine it like a big wave of defaults and bankruptcies that slowly slowly sweeps over the planet for 15 years with inflation and panic in rich countries and unrest in poor countries with rising food prices and rising gold prices towards the end around 2030-2034 while the time 2030-2040 could be really depressing and bleak. By then one should be long gone from Europe/USA and live in Asia/Latin America Im working on a inflation counter from supermarket prices and house prices. I think it will be difficult to rely on government to measure inflation.
  24. Cobran Thanks for the recap and keeping an eye on markets, awesome! So the ruble didnt elect any of the weekly or monthly bearish and stayed stable. Turnpoints 1q2017 and 4q2017 were relatively accurate. A$ did indeed stay below the 0.80 on a monthly close. There 2018 is a turnpoint which so far looks more like a low in dollar. (Marty expects a 2021 dollar high) My quick allords interpretation was wrong as it went up. I couldnt see any turnpoints and indeed there was a nice clear trend so far. I should have written some bullish reversals. Next time... A-Bonds i interpreted from socrates in sept2016: "If the 90day bonds close below 97 monthly then watch out! The price of the 10year bond is easyer to look up, there it would be a monthly close below 96,83 and there the high should be now" this still has to come to fruition. The Bond market Crash! The roughly september turnpoint 2017 i saw in in gold gave the high. Nice. Marty was looking for a low jan2017, not perfectly accurate but yes that was clearly the low. I dont have THAT kind of access to socrates anymore, that was beta testing. the final trader version will come out this year dough. This is from the investor level access: Gold "Thu. Mar. 1, 2018 at 130360. Looking at our Reversal System, our next Weekly Bullish Reversal to watch stands at 135770 while the Weekly Bearish Reversal lies at 130450. This provides a 3.91% trading range. Turning to the broader Monthly level, the current Bullish Reversal stands at 135770 while the monthly Bearish Reversal lies at 126270. " I think this sort of real life testing with accountability in public is extremely valuable to see the possibilities and limits of the system! Also i think this is the time-scale its designed for. Monthly to quarterly with the weekly to fine tune and the yearly to see major shifts ahead. Looking at Martys own trades back in the day, his trades seemed to be mostly a couple weeks to months, catching the nice downmoves. He says in panics and crashes the system become better.
  25. Wow amazing guys thank you! Many tips on health and exercise and a recoup of martys prediction i posted a while ago, a great day Will read everything carefully and i have this for us today: "Dow Jones As long as we close March at the end of next week BELOW 24740, then consolidation should continue. A closing above 23486 for March will continue to warn that we are not in a meltdown risk mode. The next two MAJOR targets in Time are May, which has a minor Panic Cycle, and July, which shows up as big volatility. We must keep in mind that if the February low holds, then a Cycle Inversion may still be in process headed into a May high. If we elect a Monthly Bearish at the end of March, then this would imply a May low. Congress stuck in the budget very quietly a bill to bailout 200 pensions plans. They are becoming aware of the real problems. It does not appear that Draghi will be able to get out the door in 2019 BEFORE the Crisis begins to hit. We are looking at an intense period beginning this year" "It does appear that the important turning point will be July and the second half of the year we should begin to see the trend emerge. Interest rates are still poised to move sharply higher. This will add confusing, but they will be the catalyst for change. German rates are still negative on the bunds and this is really just a bet against the Euro where they expect to get Deutsche marks. That trade will not work out. The trade will remain the move to the dollar." Goooold: "Gold is shaping up showing that the second half of 2018 should be the volatile period and November will be a Panic Cycle May will be a key turning point and the two Reversals we must pay attention to are 1362.50 on a monthly basis and 1347 on a quarterly closing basis coming into play for March. We need to cross both of these Reversals to negate a decline short-term. 2019 is a Panic Cycle Year so the risk of a decline cannot be ruled out until we pass 2020. Because we are at a major crossroads at last,