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Everything posted by Swaize

  1. So june became july and its probably a high in the dow and gold Next turnpoint is september area Yes medved i agree it could be a september low in the dow. Private blog summary: Dow up into 2022ish so buy the dips this year Gold up into 2024? Buy the dips Emerging markets will crash, europes economy declines, Dollar rallye ahead and eurondecline and pound decline into 2021 2022area monetary system crysis worldwide, bretton woods style, dollar reserve system change If your not making tons of money the next 4 years youre doing something wrong
  2. Just imagine a world, where everything is cheap relative to salaries but no one can save enough money, cause inflation outpaces wage growth AND a credit/loan at a bank will cost 8% annually... So good to have savings at that time! At the moment inflation in switzerland according to my guesstimate is 4% In Singapore they have good gov. Statistics izs also 4% Yet loans can be had for about 2-4% in Europe so all we would have to do is buy a cheap asset like a farm/commodities/agriculture with bank-money (in eastern europe like Czech its cheap) and inflation alone would cover the interest and when commodity prices go up again its profit time! Food/commodities are the ONE thing thats cheap. Im sure there are stocks of companies who buy farmland.
  3. AllOrdinairies Socrates buy Signal, buy a monthly close above 6,873.20 Big turnpoints September2019 Biggest weekly turnpoint week of 24.june Basically, you buy once the first monthly bullish gets elected and sell when the first monthly bearish gets elected. Simple trendfollowing system. Using this, you would have sold during the 2015 dow crash and during the 2018 dow crash so the system gets you out before any 2008-style event. So you can buy and hold safely, just check end of every month if any monthly bearish reversals got elected. Ewen the basic For trading you can use the Array and look for turnpoints and then after a turnpoint buy when the first weekly bullish gets elected and sell either on the next important turnpoint or on the next weekly bearish or when the market encounter a cluster of weekly bullish. Even the most basic, quite cheap subscription level gives you the basic monthly buy/sell signal. For example for the all ordinaries: "Sell your position: Long-Term critical support still underlies this market at 5294099 and only a break of that level on a monthly closing basis would warn of a break of the current uptrend. Buy a position: Critical resistance now stands on a monthly closing basis at 6481301 and a break above that level on a monthly closing basis would warn of a continued advance ahead becomes possible." Every person who has stocks or other investments, should consider at least the cheapest subscription for these buy/sell signals. Friends of mine, professional traders, have 75% successful trades with Socrates, instead of 65% so more than they had before. Erwin also showed his 15 winning trades and 5 loosing trades with the system and average 3:1 risk return.
  4. More serious and just in general, i researched the data on the past of the climate in yearly, instead of smoothed averages and found that even during the coldest time in the little ice age, there were some summers just as warm as today. What im saying is, if its cold then every 5th summer can still be really hot! And even in our global warming there can be a cold winter here and there, thats normal. But when the average gets pulled down or we break cold records then you know the trend is turning down. Also i found that while in 1700s northern germany had colder summers but hungary did not! Hungary had cold springs but still had warm summers. So climate turning colder can be different in different places and in different years, like last year that was one of the warmest sunniest in europe ever but in the usa it was cold. And this winter was warm here, no frost, finally i got apricots on my trees, while in the usa it was reeeeeally snowy and frost really late. One year a trend does not make
  5. Corn had a rallye into this week but is turning down. I guess the f*cking chinese pigs dying (sounds so funny) is bearish on pig-food like soy, corn. In AUD or CAD or RUB terms, commdoties will rallye soon and into 2023 or 2024 , its time to look for companies. Marty is making us ready for the commodity bullmarket, but the dollar rallye into 2021 might first rain on the parade. If we see a dollar rallye then right at the peak is the perfect time to shift out of USA and into Australia (maby brazil, peru too?) and go long wheat and gold Socrates is up, i think i cant publish tooo many arrays or anything here, but... Let me just say that many many markets, dow gold usw have a turnpoint in june and specifically in june 10-17 so watch what happens on that date and if a new trend develops from there. For example djia dow: 25207 weekly close below signals decline into june The next timing target in many many markets is around september2019 watch that(even bitcoin has september as turnpoint on the array). And then of course january2020 the ECM date is just about on every market. Hope that provides some value to you
  6. marty said grains will lead the cycle. so im betting on wheat and gold. oil is strong so that can be why the ruble is up. Many say, investint and doing business in Russia is a NIGHTMARE and you can loose it all. But australia and canada are also resource countries and internationally quite cheap in dollar terms. The biggest rise was in the nasdaq globally. FANG will eventually become an epic bubble haha Socrates is really up, bit expensive, and you can subscribe to ONE instrument. So you wont get arrays on many things but you can buy snapshot acces to things that interest you (not cheap) i find it now yet clear enough to get actual cold hard buy signals for various strategies and horizons yet...like, buy now!!! or sell 50% now!!! its more like....huge amounts of numbers and lines, not made for IQ80 politicians or newbies....
  7. There are 100.000 students in my city and the city center is about 1500meters.....and i live in the middle For the russian interested, the ruble has a quarterly turnpoint 1.st quarter 2020 and the yearly bullish for the ruble is 7992 against the dollar Every year marty gets more bullish commodities, first it was "prepare for the breakdown" then it was "ah nothing before 2018" now its "2019 and onward" and soon is 2020 so marty will start to shift towards commodities and said canada australia russia and latin america should "turn up again" So guys, start making lists of nice companies and prepare to be buying the dips! I just recently sold all my silver/gold exposure and bought platinum but will buy again gold silver sugar wheat and so on on each dip into 2022 Socrates is online but a bit expensive especially if you wanna dabble in many markets! I was lucky to have had the crazy access back in 2016 on the whole world.
  8. actually not much feedback, im a bit disconnected to the guys as we been waiting for this since 2015 haha thats 4 years now! hey australia has panic cycle this year, should get some action
  9. And December was the low hows it going guys? The REAL socrates is now secretly online, i couldnt try yet cause my credit card gets declined for some reason, but friends tried.
  10. Zaph so youre saying in this huge rallye of real estate, you bought 7 years ago and still renting is about even compared to buying? Not much profit?
  11. The Dax turnpoint of october seemed to have caught the high. djia buy Signal from the slide of conference buy the dow on weekly close 26965 and monthly close 25588 DJIA
  12. True, i hear from some people in some countries that the anti foreigner sentiment is rising probably in australia for chinese, in china for westerners, in europe maby too, That means if im a foreigner then that also sucks, but honestly, if you got a nice social circle with locals, then it doesnt matter so much. There is always a group of open mided people somewhere I mean, absent cultural revolution in china, jew killing nazis, and the like. And the jews were safe in america so no big deal and china was a sh*thole then anyway so good to leave. I think if you go to Singapore this wont happen to you that you get killed for being white. if you go to GOOD places with future and growth and openness (like america back in the day)
  13. Well you cant forget that especially young voters are full of leftist lesbian vegans which are all about, saving the planet, we are all one, stop consumerism, stop global warming (school protests today in australia?) The new militants are now in many countries the Green Party! like in Italy The counter is in many countries anti immigrants, like AfD or in Italy the North League (who wants to drive out the Roma population) So you have left environmentalists (and we know how rational they are...) and people who generally dont like immigrants out of principle Common sense is lost to both... Another problem is that trough social media, extreme comments get more attention. Plus the IQ in many places is sinking just low enough that most people (and brainwashed students) dont really understand complex subjects anymore! In science too, the culture changed towards just getting funding instead of making REAL research. I mean.... probably politics has OFTEN been like that, just childish and stupid debates instead of ACTUAL FACTS and debate trying to get to the BEST SOLUTION for the FUTURE of the country. In China they make 5 year plans. In Singapore some plan for decades. In Europe? I cant remember the last time i heard a politician think like that, otherwise the Pension debate would look REALLY DIFFERENT and there would be more talk of soon-to-be empty buildings. Talkshows could be about REAL ISSUES instead of a guy who f*cked 3 women at the same time.... There could be debate clubs. Forming an opinion together based on facts. I think its not even the politicians fault. I think the human species is just a TAD too stupid honestly. Germany has one of the higher average IQs but that means most of the World and all of Africa simply isnt smart enough to even have the low-quality debates Germany has. Then add that most countries arent exactly very democratic.... people just have too little influence! So it seems to me there is just no-one on the steering wheel! Just get out of harms way when the car rolls towards a cliff
  14. That seems to be unfolding now....maby into 2021 or even 2024
  15. Martin Armstrongs trades that are upcoming are i think: Trade a possible DJIA breakout Trade a strong Dollar against EM currencies and the EURO Shorting Banks Shorting Bonds especially Municipal
  16. Yeah time to get outta here... Just.... not that many good options...
  17. Yes as interest rates rise, we can se a REAL crash in real estate. Marty still sees the dollar rally A LOT by 2021 Measured in Dollars then, Marty sees the commodity bull market start mostly AFTER the dollar rallye
  18. Anyone been to the WEC conference?
  19. Actually angela merkel is about to be replaced by a guy from blackrock Thats like the successor to goldman sachs So...no hope for politics sorry. Just so many people who think something is wrong and so many answers WHAT is wrong and WHY but none are really correct. No joke, italys biggest party was/is a GREEN ECO party! so they now decide based on ecology not business or economic sense..... just bad. I will now try not to talk about politics in europe anymore in my life. Hard i know, but necessary for my nerves. And to be on topic, i realized australian real estate is measured in AUD but the AUD is itself in a 7 year downtrend?
  20. I think Europe is f*ckED for a LOOOOOOONG time. And im not talking about spain and greece, those are f*cked SINCE a looong time lol Im talking about the healthy ones like Czech, Poland, Germany, England, Holland these are the ones with low unemployment right now. (basically all the Germanic genetic regions are healthy, oh the coincidence, and the greeks who got overrun by turks and the spanish who got overrun by muslems have sh*tty economies, bad sign now that Austria and Germany are ALSO overrun by africans and middle-easterns......) In 10years when the next crysis is over, then the fixed interest loans will have run out and become changeable interest loans. So thats 2028, add maby 5y housing downturn to that and you arrive 2033 which is martys real estate cycle low! Oh... have i mentioned that maaaany swiss pension funds invested heavily in Real Estate because Bonds were not yielding anything....and swiss private people took their pension savings and put them into RealEstate too....
  21. You can watch those numbers to see when the action starts: Netflix: First of all, let me say, there are still bugs in Socrates: today it shows a ridiculous number for the japanese yen. And on netflix there is also one mistake in numbers, where it says 0,29% up in 4 weeks is a phenomenal rise The globalmarket watch said october important low, for netflix a year-end closing below 19196 would suggest that a correction into the next target due 2021 becomes possible. our technical resistance stands at 32468 and it will require a closing above this level to signal a breakout of the upside is unfolding. Relying on our Reversal System, our next Weekly Bullish Reversal to watch stands at 40337 while the Weekly Bearish Reversal lies at 29261. This provides a 27% trading range. Turning to the broader Monthly level, the current Bullish Reversal stands at 42322 while the Bearish Reversal lies at 23610. This, of course, gives us a broader trading range of a 44%. Immediately, we closed the last session trading at the 31084, which is below this level on a daily closing basis at this moment. We need to close above this on a weekly basis to signal a rally is unfolding. A possible change in trend appears due come January 2019 in NetFlix Inc so be focused. The last cyclical event was a low established back during October. Critical support still underlies this market at 23610 and a break of that level on a monthly closing basis would warn that a sustainable decline ahead becomes possible Want more? NASDAQ Index: our next Weekly Bullish Reversal to watch stands at 927394 while the Weekly Bearish Reversal lies at 708482 Monthly level, the current Bullish Reversal stands at 744200 while the Bearish Reversal lies at 680595. (( another huuuge mistake: Eyeing the direction of this trend, we had been moving down for-2482 weeks )) monthly market watch says, preparing for breakout for this month..... Dow: We do see this year as a possible turning point so how we close will be important. The subsequent target for a turning point will be 2022. At this time, the market is trading above last year's close of 2471922 which is bullish Our projected resistance stands above the market at 2590679 and a closing above that is necessary to signal any strong further upside advance. Looking at our Reversal System, our next Weekly Bullish Reversal to watch stands at 2990642 while the Weekly Bearish Reversal lies at 2410123. This provides a 19% trading range. Turning to the broader Monthly level, the current Bullish Reversal stands at 2661672 while the Bearish Reversal lies at 2399720. This, of course, gives us a narrower trading range of a 9.84%
  22. marty still thinks, this will be a runaway bullmarket, no new lows.
  23. Now in the swiss mountains prices tumble. Switzerland was so far not hit by ANY real estate slowdown since 1980s Prices since 2007 are someplaces up by 50% But since july 2017 prices are FLAT: https://www.nzz.ch/finanzen/kurse-produkte/indizes/detail/?ID_NOTATION=7910625 There were still some regions with price growth up from last year but much less than usual. We are now at the flat-peaking phase. I think its safe to say, that when rates rise in Switzerland, prices will come down. And in a -0,5% interest environment that will have quite crazy effects on downpayment of million dollar houses. Maby fun stat: average rent for 100m2 is 2165Chf so 3000 AUD per 100m2 rent Average price for an appartment in Z├╝rich was 1million Chf last year. So about 1.5million AUD for an average appartment. The average houshold, so one woman one man working, has to work for 10 years to get enough money for a credit, so age 25 out of uni, at 35 get credit, after 10 year fixed interest die on the then high interest rates at age 45 That explains why the average age for a baby is so high, when people can only afford a house at age 35 but both have to work to pay down the loan. And 42h per week is normal and 1h to go to work is normal, so not much time left to actually see the child.
  24. Yeah well after 30 awesome years, a big crysis and then maby another 30 so so years. Thats just the normal pattern, in Germany they had now the 30 so so years and economists on youtube argue over why the years were only soso and how they could return to the good years again, what system they need, while allthewhile being totally blind that now the quite bad 30 years come! So just step out of the way of the rolling big snowballs of doom and you will be fine again after the crysis. Commodities will rally, you have low public debts so after the banks swollow the bad pill or the government bails them out, it will be quite okay again Remember, as long as you got a job that just pays every month, then you dont care how unemployment rises or sales slump. Just stay in there. Then when government suffocates on the now high debt like europe, then you gotta start getting out of there.
  25. The dollars turnpoint against the euro its definitely 2021 2023/24 will be commodities REALLY moving, a genuine commodity bullmarket, irrespective or currencies. droughts will make food go up, there will be inflation, all the good stuff (says marty) probably accompanied by a weaker dollar, as this is after martys expected dollar super-high