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Everything posted by staringclown

  1. Dow now in a bear market. Fear outweighing greed. Leveraged economy now roosting chickens. Dudes fighting over sh*t in the shops. After 12 years of waiting. After the biggest short of them all. What's everybody buying? I've come in far too early with banks. Made some small gambits and lost. My plan is to keep buying on the way down as it ever was. Anyone have a different strategy? Any thoughts on where the bottom is? Any thoughts on the property market? Is this a 'U' or a 'V'? The irony is that when this forum finally ran down and the last bear gave up, the black swan appeared. You may have been right bears, but timing is everything. Now is your time.
  2. Nope. I closed the thread to you because you're this guy... Bye
  3. Well, to be fair he wouldn't be jailed just for climate change denial. He's met Trump and is trying on Trumpism for size. I'm not sure it will work here. I certainly hope not. I've been quiet for a few months now. The sheer ridiculousness of the rabbit hole that we have been dragged down by cobran20 is apparent to all. This is not meant to be a gloating post. But I'm still choking on smoke with 4 weeks left of summer. More a reset of the debate. Looking at you Anders. Adaptation and mitigation arguments in a vague concession to the reality don't seem to be cutting the mustard.
  5. Bought time I say. Music being one of the three great pleasures in life. So I'll kick off, My likes are extensive. Started liking punk (pistols, skids, iggy pop, public image ltd, joy division) graduated to manchester beat (stone roses, insiral carpets, blur, smiths, the the, ride) and then everything jazz classical, opera, techno. Australian music (chris wilson, paul kelly, deb conway (including do re mi), go-betweens, necks, nick cave, dirty three, john butler,saints, ed kuepper) eclectic (squarepusher, orbital, art of noise, ) heavy side ( alice in chains, metallica, Anyway point is most things besides gangsta rap and recent r & b. but do lie grand master flash, spearhead, massive attack, disposable heroes of hypocrisy and the like. Play: bagpipes First concert: Kevin Borich express and Mi-sex Glen hotel eight mile plains First album: the cure seventeen seconds.
  6. Thank you both for your kind words. The thing I've always liked about our little forum is that I'm talking with humans.
  7. I unlocked it. thus is my super power. How big is the anthropogenic component? Big enough to change the outcome. What can be done about it? (Hint: global taxation is not the solution...) Why can't we have a campaign to plant a billion trees around the globe in 10 years? We just need a tree-roots [sic] campaign where 10 million people world-wide commit to planting 10 trees per year for the next decade. We need rain. And an absence of Bolsanaro Equally, why can't we have a market driven solution for a transition to non fossil fuel energy?
  8. The issue isn't ideological. Plenty of right wing governments accept the science. Other factors such as solar flares, moving of the poles, volcanic activity are in the model. If there's agreement on rising temperatures, then what? We fix it like we did with acid rain and the ozone hole. I'm not against people making a buck. In fact that is essential. Harnessing market forces to fix the problem is the way to go.
  9. Well you could always use your experience to make the world a better place... I lost my bestie last year. Cancer. Took a few months off in self pity. Now I feel like fighting again.
  10. This is a cracker. So is this.
  11. Yeah, what I was asking was whether you agreed with the proposition that temperatures were rising. If the rises weren't caused by humans then you must have some alternate theory? Mr M, I don't consider you as an irrational actor. Plus, I like your taste in music. I too am not after a soapbox. But after a month of choking on toxic smoke my patience for deniers is wearing thin.
  12. So the temperature is rising but humans have nothing to do with it?
  13. Anyone feeling positive about denial any more?
  14. And your grandchildren? How will they do?
  15. Even John Howard of all people...
  16. I think you're on to something...
  17. First of all the government claim of gigabits per second is rubbish. There is little or no contention on those lines. However the coalition plan will limit your speed to pretty much what you have now. So the question is do we need an NBN? Points for: It can be extended to produce greater speeds with changes in the devices at each end of the pipe. It's fibre optic to the home dude think about the movie/gaming (and on a serious note real time conferencing and work productivity gains). Uploads at equal speed to downloads. Interactive. Cool. Crikey have an excellent summary. All that is required to achieve expert status within a relatively short read. link part 1 link part 2 Points against: It's expensive.
  18. I'm genuinely happy for you and hope it works out. Weird to hear a house price with a one in front of it! Legal decisions are made on evidence. Policy decisions are made on evidence (or at least they should be) IMHO. In my book evidence is the basis of rationality in decision making. I appreciate this involves certain philosophical beliefs that I hold. I take very little on faith. I'll give you an example. I phoned my insurance company to report a modification to my vehicle. I was advised by the rep that I was not required to report such modifications. I was surprised and requested a copy of the policy to check. The policy clearly described that if I didn't report such modifications then the insurance company was within its rights to not pay the policy. I called back and was given the same advice, I stopped the rep and related the section detailing my "responsibilities". I then got to report my modifications. If I'd taken that advice on faith, I could have voided my policy. I'd be up for thousands. In god we trust, all others bring evidence. My mum had the prayer of serenity on the wall when I was growing up. I'm an atheist as you know but that does not render religious doctrine without merit. I regard the bible generally as a rule book for harmonious society. (except for the weird old testament stuff) The science of climate change falls into the category of things that can be changed. Just like the ozone hole and the banning of clorofluorocarbons. We managed that OK. The point is that it's not even that the climate hasn't changed before. It's the rate of change that is the distinguishing feature of this event. It's so rapid that it does not allow most species to evolve quickly enough. The timescale of the change is too short.
  19. 6 blade razors?
  20. Congrats on the house sol. I disagree with your characterisation of the CC 'debate' as religious. One side relies on evidence. If the evidence changes then so does my opinion. The other on conspiracy, anecdote and wilful ignorance. This article in the guardian sums it up nicely. If you're bored with the future of your grand children then I'm curious to know what excites you?
  21. That would be the preferred option for the reasons that you state. The money gets put straight back into the economy. It's what I meant by an about turn on ideology. Unfortunately, the government haven't signalled anything of the sort. I fear that a more likely result will be to provide a less efficient stimulus to the "base"
  22. Back to the main game then. Yield curve inversion China and Germany (eu and asia) economies faltering Trade war which nobody wants to look weak Not many shots in the locker left. A government that is ideologically opposed to raising dole for max stimulus Infrastructure spending also tepid Calls on the reserve bank (and the Fed by Trump) to lower IR No deal Brexit Hong Kong Kashmir record breaking 'no recession' in Oz It hasn't been this exciting to be bearish for quite a while. I predict stimulus. Maybe helicopter money. Maybe QE in Oz. And if the government has any sense an about turn on ideology.
  23. I'm not sure it was the shaved head. The crazy rants against just about everybody and the lack of good music were also an influence in the 'weird' categorisation. A bit like Bono. I still listen to Sinead. At least the earlier stuff. If she puts out a decent single again I'd be happy to listen again. I don't agree with her views on most things. It's like the argument as to whether you can still appreciate Wagner due to his anti-semitic views. Or whether the statue of Rhodes should be toppled at Oxford Uni. Or Winston's anti-Indian racism. Historical revisionism seeks to erase history. I'd prefer that such flaws were remembered. So as to be avoided in future. And now a tune...