staringclown

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About staringclown

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    My life is a very complicated drinking game...
  • Birthday 06/06/66

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    Canberra
  1. two year old coders What a load of sh*t. Although, the current skill level I experience at work is that of a two year old.
  2. Gerard Minack, Satyajit Das. Absolute bear porn.
  3. It's certainly the far rights best chance in a long time. To change the world to how they want it. Of course it won't be what they actually want. Their own futures won't be enhanced. The promises they were made won't eventuate. Bannon has been sacked and he's admitted as much. The swamp doesn't drain easily. It fights back. I was hoping that Abbott would remain in power for similar reasons. Give 'em enough rope so to speak... I've heard a load of opinion lately about not upsetting the alt right for fear of enlarging their base. One nation here is a case in point. Governments need one nations votes. And their base has legitimate grievances. High unemployment, no benefit from globalisation etc. They're looking for someone to blame. Lots of talk about universal income as well (hats off to you sir for raising this long before it became a thing) George Brandis stood up this week and it was good to see. I hardly ever agree with George. I can't agree with the pandering to opportunists argument. Let Trump speak on please, but the mass movement of the alt right needs to be opposed at every every opportunity along the way. Handing over any ground to any party that doesn't deal in actual evidence based policy is dangerous. In keeping with Godwin's law I will not mention names. It's encouraging that the "free speech" rally in Boston was met with overwhelming numbers of counter protesters. I don't like to see violence and I think overwhelming numbers against illustrate the level of support within a democracy and provide a suitable smack down for an offensive minority view . Likewise with Hanson. Also, likewise with Turnbull. I don't understand why the minority in his own party hold so much sway. Bipartisan support for evidence based policy will bypass the nutters on both extremes. The marginal seat holders would applaud the rise in their standing and would keep the far right rump at bay vis a vis leadership challenges. Grow a pair Mal if you want to do right by the country rather than preserve your own job. Even if you fail, in the long run you win. History will remember you favourably. rant over
  4. She got what wanted. A cheap headline and the enhancement of her reputation as an 'outsider' condemned by the swamp. Her smile grew the longer Brandis spoke and her supporters lapped it up just in time for the Queensland election.
  5. Absolutely. If NK shoot first they are deader than disco. It will be akin to pearl harbour. Carnage will ensue so I doubt very much it will actually happen. If it does I'll concede the point on rationality. I'm on the cusp of fifty and will hope to avoid the call up. I'm not skilled with the bayonetz.
  6. China have said they will take a neutral stand if NK strike first. If the US strike first it's a different ballgame Wha? A nuclear war won't save his neck. It'll guarantee it gets stretched. That's if he survives the war he starts.
  7. No. At no point did I suggest that we throw up our hands and let NK develop a massive arsenal of nukes. NK spend 10 billion per year on their army. ~1 million soldiers. That's 25% of their GDP according to wiki. The US is spending ~250 billion of nukes over the next 30 years. There are ~15000 nukes worldwide Given that NK have 4 they are going to need to spend a lot of cash to equal China (270) let alone Russia (7000). This will be particularly difficult if they continue and more sanctions are applied. China has agreed to denuclearising the peninsula. They supported the recent UN sanctions. More may be needed. Where is the money coming from for NK to rival China or Russia? How can you be so sure that China wouldn't intervene if the US launch a preemptive strike? They don't want a US ally abutting their border. They also don't want millions of NK refugees flooding into China.
  8. Rationality is a subjective term. The main aim of the regime is to keep themselves in power. They see the US as a threat to this aim. Obviously it's not a good thing but from their point of view the development of nukes is rational. It's the same reason that the USSR developed their nukes. Australia is a target now if China or Russia go up against the US. Pakistan has nukes and a military intelligence organisation (ISI) that supports Al-qaeda. This is not rational from our point of view either. But no one is threatening war with Pakistan. If we're judging rationality based upon language then the two camps aren't that dissimilar. Trump vs Kim Jong-un: who said what? The Germans had a much greater military capability than NK. I don't think the situations are the same.
  9. As Tor points out, the likelihood of mass deaths has stayed the hand of previous administrations. There are no good options. China is happy with the buffer that NK provides. A preemptive strike by th US could see direct conflict. Even with nukes, NK couldn't defeat the US. If they ever used them they'd end up a crater. The world has been living with detente for decades. It is worsened when another country joins the club for sure but is it so bad that potentially millions should die to prevent it?
  10. I'm not sure whether Trump is using his rhetoric to try and convince Kim Jong Un that he is the crazier of the two of them or Trump is just plain crazy. Either way, relying on sanity to prevail on the NK side is high stakes. At some point if Trump is bluffing to get China to act or NK to back down and negotiate and the bluff is called it's going to be humiliating for him. He doesn't take humiliation well. Obama humiliated him publicly at a dinner over his birther claims and he hasn't been able to let it go since. He hasn't, and possibly won't ever draw the line that will need be crossed by NK to take action. If he ever does set a hard line and crab walks back from it and someone laughs at him I doubt he'll worry about the consequences to others compared to the dent to his ego. If he is indeed mad he might launch a preemptive attack if the hard line is crossed. This would bring China into direct conflict with the US. Utter disaster would follow. Equally mad would be if he was hoping to provoke NK into attacking first. China might stay out of direct conflict but will tool up NK. If he doesn't set a line and just amps up the threats NK and China will see that his words are hollow. Still a humiliating situation for him but given his ability to claim success from failure possibly a slightly less dangerous one. At this point I see this as the more likely scenario. I could be wrong.
  11. I thought he had already spirited away cash to Lebanon. 20 million bucks
  12. +1 Viking pyre would seem my best option now. It's a pity they have banned fireworks in the ACT. I've always fancied having my ashes blasted into space like Hunter S. I may not have made it to the stratosphere but I could have covered a fair area of Woden.
  13. Gerrymandering down to the street level by all accounts
  14. I hope that avoiding a Royal Commission into the banks now will be more difficult. We're now informed that the Commonwealth bank has allowed money laundering by criminal and potentially terrorist organisations. Terrorists Mal. Your quite big on them. I've been waiting for the out from both the bank and the government and received it tonight. In spite of the headline that there was potentially 1 trillion in fines and the effective re-nationalisation of the bank we all knew that was bollocks. The entire affair (~53000 unreported transactions > 10k) will be reduced to one offence. It was a software error. Apparently they don't test their software at the Commonwealth Bank. No business analyst picked up the error, no tester, no PM, no business area. Numerous reports from coal face staff never made it to the upper echelons of management. Ian Narev gets to name his own penalty. He's not walking the plank. He expects a reduction in his bonus... Don't even start me on the same sex marriage "debate"
  15. Have you seen the original Blue Murder? Cracking good show. Roxburgh played Rogerson in that too.